Quantum-Safe Encryption
Why the threat to your data is already here

18th March 2026BlogAJ Thompson

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In this article:

• Quantum computers will break today’s encryption and the threat is closer than most organisations think.
• ‘Harvest now, decrypt later’ attacks are already underway. Encrypted data stolen today can be decrypted once quantum capability arrives.
• The average organisation scores just 21/100 on IBM’s Quantum-Safe Readiness Index, and full migration is expected to take 12 years.
• NIST published its first post-quantum cryptographic (PQC) standards in 2024, giving organisations the tools to begin their quantum-safe encryption journey.
• Crypto-agility and early action are the defining traits of organisations leading on quantum-safe security.

Quantum-safe encryption is one of the most urgent and overlooked challenges in enterprise security today. Every time you send an email, enter card details for a bank transfer, or log into a corporate network, encryption is silently working in the background to keep that transaction safe. For decades, cryptographic standards like RSA and Diffie-Hellman have been the bedrock of digital security. Quantum computing could leave that bedrock in tatters.

quantum-safe encryption diagram showing how a quantum computer breaks RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm and the harvest now decrypt later attack strategy

How encryption works and why it is vulnerable to quantum attack

Today’s encryption is built on mathematical problems that no classical computer could solve in a reasonable timeframe. Factoring a 2,048-bit number, for instance, would require the world’s most powerful supercomputer billions of years. It is the sheer difficulty of that mathematics that keeps your data safe.

However, a quantum computer with sufficient power can execute Shor’s algorithm — a quantum algorithm that factors large numbers exponentially faster than any classical method. Once we have cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs), the encryption safeguarding your data, your customers’ data, and your organisation’s intellectual property could be broken in minutes.

The ‘Harvest Now, Decrypt Later’ threat is already here

Cybercriminals are already stealing encrypted data today, betting they will be able to decrypt it once quantum computers become a reality. Share on X

Cybercriminals are already stealing encrypted data today, betting they will be able to decrypt it once quantum computers become a reality.

This is not a hypothetical future threat. It is happening right now. Nation-state adversaries and sophisticated threat actors are collecting encrypted communications today with a clear strategy: harvest the data now, decrypt it later when quantum capability becomes available.

Financial records, health data, intellectual property, classified communications, and personally identifiable information are all in the crosshairs. The IBM Institute for Business Value research, based on responses from 565 executives across 15 countries and 13 industries, found that despite this clear and present danger, quantum-safe awareness remains dangerously low.

The scale of the Quantum-safe encryption challenge

For organisations, this is not simply a case of applying a software patch. Cryptography exists at virtually every layer of the digital enterprise — applications, networks, infrastructure, APIs, supply chains, and third-party services. Transitioning to quantum-safe cryptographic standards is an enterprise-wide exercise that can take years to complete.

The numbers speak for themselves:

Stat

What It Means

21 / 100 Average Quantum-Safe Readiness Index score globally (IBM IBV research, 565 executives across 15 countries)
12 years How long organisations estimate it will take to fully integrate quantum-safe encryption standards
2035 NIST deadline for full compliance for National Security Systems
82% Of Quantum-Safe Champions already deploying crypto-agility programmes — three times the rate of the least-ready group

 

The arithmetic is sobering. With a 12-year integration timeline and a compliance deadline of 2035, organisations that have not yet started are already well behind the curve.

quantum-safe encryption readiness infographic showing IBM research stats: 21 out of 100 readiness score, 12 year migration timeline, and 2035 NIST compliance deadlineWhat post-quantum cryptography and NIST PQC Standards mean in practice

You do not need to own a quantum computer to become quantum-safe. Achieving quantum-safe encryption means replacing vulnerable cryptographic algorithms — particularly public-key systems — with new standards that are resistant to quantum attack.

In 2024, NIST published its first set of post-quantum cryptographic (PQC) standards, providing organisations with the algorithms they need to begin their migration. This is a significant milestone and a clear signal that the transition from legacy cryptography is no longer optional.

One critical enabler of this transition is crypto-agility: the ability to swap cryptographic algorithms quickly without overhauling entire systems. The top 10% of organisations in IBM’s readiness index — the Quantum-Safe Champions — are already deploying crypto-agility programmes at three times the rate of their least-prepared peers.

Quantum-safe security as a competitive differentiator

Security is no longer simply a cost of doing business. Organisations that achieve quantum-safe status will demonstrate a measurably higher level of trust and resilience to their customers, partners, and regulators.

In financial services, healthcare, telecommunications, and government contracting, quantum-safe encryption will gradually become a licence to operate — and a genuine competitive differentiator for those who move first.

As Sujith Surendranathan, Director of Database Security and Data Protection at Sun Life, has noted, every organisation has exposure to quantum threats, whether or not they use quantum computing themselves. The threat is universal. The response must be too.

Where should organisations start?

quantum-safe encryption roadmap showing four stages: discover, prioritise, migrate and sustain — helping organisations achieve post-quantum cryptography compliance

The path to quantum-safe security begins with visibility. Organisations need to understand where cryptography lives across their estate, across applications, infrastructure, APIs, and supply chain, before they can begin to prioritise migration.

At Northdoor, we help organisations build that picture and develop a structured roadmap to quantum-safe readiness. If you would like to understand your current exposure and where to start, speak to our team about quantum-safe security.

Related reading: The Quantum Revolution 

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